Phone calls, mailers, text messages, door knocking and a crush of TV ads have blanketed Nashvillians in the final days before the city’s vote on a multi-billion-dollar mass transit proposal.
The ground game has intensified — and diversified — in the final hours, and a few last public endorsements, for and against, have come in.
The pro-transit coalition says it sent 25,000 text messages in the past week and enlisted 300 volunteers over the weekend, while the anti-referendum side has put together one last debate at North Nashville barbershop, Mogul’s.
“We’re trying to be everywhere,” said Transit For Nashville spokeswoman Kelly Brockman.
“It’s going to be an intense focus on getting voters to the polls,” said No Tax For Tracks spokesman Jeff Eller.
In terms of funding and campaign size, there has appeared to be a mismatch — with more money and a larger volunteer base working in favor of the transit plan. The pro-side will soon complete a run of 12 mailers, about twice as many as opponents, and have hosted roughly 130 events over four months.
Campaign spending has been not quite 2-to-1 tilted toward the pro-side. And while the opponents won’t share their phone banking tally, the pro-side has been doing upward of 4,000 calls per night for about three months.
“We’re grossly underfunded compared to the pro-side,” said jeff obafemi carr, an advisor to No Tax. “So you can’t really hang on television, on yard signs … we particularly like opportunities where we can come in and have both sides, to connect with people who are truly undecided.”
Which messages will register at the polls is still either side’s guess.
One thing they agree on: the high turnout during early voting, which topped 59,000 ballots, was a positive sign for voter engagement. Yet observers have struggled to say what the turnout means for the outcome.
Supporters And Opponents
What follows below is a round-up of endorsements in favor of the proposal and declared opposition from organizations and elected officials. (If we’ve missed your group, please send details to firstname.lastname@example.org and this list will be updated.)
The Moneyed Campaigns
The political action groups — for and against — spent a combined $1.5 million in the first quarter of the year, and had an additional $500,000 on hand headed into April.
The Transit For Nashville coalition appears to be the largest group, by far, with more than 130 organizations signed on. They include the Nashville Area Chamber of Commerce, large employers like Bridgestone, HCA, Asurion, most of the universities in the city, real estate and hospitality organizations, law firms and several nonprofits.
There are two groups with funding against the plan.
No Tax For Tracks hasn’t shared its membership, but key individual donors from the group's latest disclosure include Joseph Scarlett, former CEO of Tractor Supply Co.; leaders of the Freeman Webb property management company; Dale Allen, a partner in the Allen and Reese law firm, Barney Byrd, president of Gen Cap America; and leaders with Avondale Partners investment banking firm.
The group’s largest funder, by far, is a 501(c)4 organization, Nashville SMART Inc., which has not disclosed its donors.
More recent opposition activity has come from the Stop The Train Committee, backed by Americans For Prosperity.
Mayoral Candidates and Metro Council
Mayor David Briley stands alone as the mayoral candidate in favor of the transit plan.
Candidates Erica Gilmore, a Metro councilwoman, and state Rep. Harold Love Jr. have flipped to oppose it, and there’s been strong opposition from conservatives Ralph Bristol and Carol Swain.
On the Metro Council, The Tennessean reported that nearly twice as many members support approval than oppose it, and some are undecided.
Strong supporters include council members Jeremy Elrod, Bob Mendes, Kathleen Murphy, Burkley Allen, Brett Withers and Freddie O’Connell.
Vocal opponents include council members Steve Glover, Robert Swope, John Cooper, Dave Rosenberg and Angie Henderson.
Elected Officials, Political Parties and Public Figures
Davidson County Democratic Party
U.S. Rep. Jim Cooper
state Sen. Jeff Yarbro
state Reps. Darren Jernigan, John Ray Clemmons and Mike Stewart
Brenda Wynn, Davidson County Clerk
Metro Trustee Charlie Cardwell
Criminal Court Clerk Howard Gentry
Former U.S. Senator Bill Frist
Former U.S. Congressman Bob Clement
Dave Goetz, former Tennessee commissioner of finance and administration
Regional endorsements have come from the Greater Nashville Regional Council, as well as from regional leaders like Clarksville Mayor Kim McMillan and Robertson County Mayor Howard Bradley.
Davidson County Republican Party
State senators Mark Green and Bill Ketron
Bill Freeman, Democratic fundraiser
Grassroots Groups And Media
Central Labor Council of Nashville and Middle Tennessee
Southeast Laborers District Council
Amalgamated Transit Union
The Tennessean editorial board
Nashville Business Journal senior leadership
Nashville For All Of Us
Coalition For Nashville Neighborhoods
The Tennessee Tribune editorial